Someone dies because of alleged depiction of Prophet Muhammad in Turkish satirical periodical LeMan (EOY2025).
9
100Ṁ414
Dec 31
4%
chance

Dying in riots protesting the depiction count.

Resolves based on reliable reporting in mainstream publications such as:

BBC

The Independent

The Guardian

Sky News (british)

France 24

Deutche Welle

  • Update 2025-12-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will remain open for a few days after the close date to allow time for:

    • Traders to present relevant links

    • Creator to search for evidence

    • If no evidence is found from reliable sources, the market will resolve NO by default

Cartoons
Islam
Humor
Extremism
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I'll probably give this a few days after closing, time to present links, and do an effort at finding any myself, and then, if I don't find anything, resolve NO by default

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