If someone accepts the challenge at Long Bets, the resolution of that bet shall be deferred to. The original Prediction with rationale can be found at:

https://longbets.org/22/

02002-02100 (98 years): By 2100 a world government will be in place and in control of: business law, environmental law, and weapons of mass destruction. - Long Bets

There is also a manifold stock for world government:

https://manifold.markets/AzzamAltairi/world-government-stocks?r=SnVzc2lWaWxsZUhlaXNrYW5lbg