Will voter turnout in the 2024 US Presidential Election exceed 65%?
Basic
19
𝕊92
Dec 31
47%
chance

Voter turnout is a key indicator of public engagement and interest in the electoral process. In recent U.S. presidential elections, voter turnout has varied significantly, with a notable increase in 2020 where turnout reached about 66.8%, the highest in over a century. Factors influencing turnout include voter registration laws, campaign strategies, political polarization, and public interest in the candidates and issues at stake.

Details:

  • Historical Context: The U.S. has seen fluctuating voter turnout rates, with the 2020 election setting a high benchmark.

  • Factors to Consider: Changes in voter laws, the impact of new voting technologies, social movements, and the popularity of the candidates.

  • Data Sources: Historical voter turnout data, current voter registration statistics, and polling data.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Is this based on voting-age population or voting-eligible population?

Made this into a sweepcash market!

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules