Will my hypomania/burst of productivity go over a month?
6
6
101
resolved Jul 1
Resolved as
36%
I'm finally getting a surge of productivity again, and am interested to see how long I can make it last. The two last ones hit a wall when I got sick (probably with covid), but it might be that they wouldn't have lasted anyway. I'll do my best to apply all the tools I've made so far/gleaned from CFAR and the rest. This market resolves when the streak ends to its length compared to the full month (if I have ~2-3 consecutive down days, then the market ends). Jun 18, 9:29am: Betting policy: Self-incentive Jun 23, 1:39pm: First week passed, resolving at least 25% Jun 28, 3:24pm: Changing policy to make the resolution criteria more clear/less arbitrary: If I have two consecutive days when I don't feel amazing, I resolve immediately on the third
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predicted YES
Seems like the hypomania has stopped since monday evening, so resolving retroactively. In retrospect, I realize my criteria were very fuzzy and I will strive to make them less so next time. In particular, I did not expect to continue being productive without the associated feeling of calm and feeling that the world is awesome. Thanks for betting <3
predicted YES
Feeling amazing! I don't know if it's the asthma medication (probably mostly related), or the fact that I stopped the potato diet, but I really feel great
predicted YES
I feel okay not resolving the market then, for now
predicted YES
Had a fit of asthma and started a medication for it. Had some very great moment today otherwise. If it continues to be unclear on thrusday morning (ie. High productivity but low mood), i will resolve to yesterday
predicted YES
I think it's back a little, though unclear. I'm able to work without any problem, but don't feel the surge either. Since it's not a down day, I'm enclined to count this as it should not resolve yet, but feel free to interject that I should if your reading on this is different
predicted YES
Had a down day today, yesterday was not productive either. Not feeling great, I did work but not enough to my liking. Boiled potatoes does not seem to work for that, so it might have been the cycling (too bad I can't really exercise for now). Will see how it evolves. If it doesn't improve by tomorrow evening, will resolve.
predicted YES
Happened faster than I thought, I'm down all a sudden. I'll try to cycle a little and sleep well (maybe writing also?) If it doesn't pass tomorrow I'll experiment some more to see if something can kickstart it again
predicted YES
Eating potatoes + light cycling + cheerful music seems to have worked great! Very excited to monitor how it will evolve. Next time I feel this sort of down time I'll try only eating potatoes to calibrate what has what kind of effect and how much