Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, meets with Xi Jinping, President of the People's Republic of China, in China during July 2025. The meeting must be officially confirmed by either the European Commission or the Chinese government. If no such meeting occurs in China within the specified timeframe, the market will resolve to "No".

Background

As of April 2025, reports indicated that European Union leaders, including Ursula von der Leyen, were planning to travel to Beijing for a summit with Xi Jinping in late July 2025. (reuters.com) This summit aims to commemorate the 50th anniversary of diplomatic relations between China and the EU. (fmprc.gov.cn) However, as of June 19, 2025, no official confirmation of this meeting has been publicly announced.

Considerations

While plans for the summit have been reported, the absence of official confirmation leaves room for potential changes. Factors such as geopolitical developments, scheduling conflicts, or unforeseen circumstances could influence the occurrence of the meeting. Traders should monitor official communications from the European Commission and the Chinese government for updates.