https://manifold.markets/MarkLindsay/who-will-be-named-nfl-mvp-for-the-2?r=TWFya0xpbmRzYXk

There are several factors when analyzing sports, player's injuries, rivalry, playing outside of home stadium, weather, and more. Based on historic data, the New York Jets have played for 60 years now, having an average of 6 games won per season (Table 1). This results in a probability of winning a game of 44% (Table 2). 

Then, what is the probability of the Jets winning more than seven games in the 2023 season? The data is roughly a normal distribution, with an average of 6.70 (u), standard deviation of 2.61 (o) and total number of years (n) of 60. 

The formula is: (x-u)/o = (7-6.70)/2.61 = 0.1149, with this value we look up the Z-Score Table (Table 3) where the probability is 0.5438 but this is the probability of the left part of distribution, so our answer is 1-0.5438=0.4562, meaning that there is a 45.6% probability that they will win more than seven games. In conclusion, there is a higher chance of the Jets not wining more than seven games in the 2023 season.

Admin. (2022, July 6). Z-Score Table | Formula, Distribution Table, Chart &amp; Example. BYJUS. 

Wikipedia contributors. (2023k, October 24). 2022 New York Jets season. Wikipedia. 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_New_York_Jets_season

Wikipedia contributors. (2023m, October 29). 2023 New York Jets season. Wikipedia. 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_New_York_Jets_season

Wikipedia contributors. (2023a, February 10). List of New York Jets seasons. Wikipedia. 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_New_York_Jets_seasons

#	Name	Total profit
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