Resolution criteria

The match will be played on October 1, 2027 in Perth. The winning margin will be determined by the final score difference between Australia and Hong Kong. Resolution will be based on the official match result as recorded by World Rugby and major sports databases (ESPN, BBC Sport, or rugbyworldcup.com). If the match is postponed or cancelled, the market resolves N/A.

Background

Hong Kong China are Rugby World Cup debutants, having secured qualification after defeating Korea 70-22 in the final round of the Asia Rugby Championship 2025. Tournament hosts have always played the opening match in Rugby World Cups, with Australia facing Hong Kong in the tournament opener and New Zealand awaiting in round 2. Australia is a two-time World Cup winner and significantly higher-ranked than Hong Kong, making this a heavily asymmetrical matchup.

Considerations

The margin categories provided (Less than 13, 13-21, 22-34, 35-55, 56-89, More than 89) are exhaustive and cover all possible outcomes. The wide range of potential margins reflects the significant disparity in team strength and experience, with outcomes ranging from a competitive contest to a dominant performance by Australia.

This description was generated by AI.