https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_East_Timorese_parliamentary_election
This market will resolve to the percentage of seats for each party. In 2018 Fretilin won 23 seats (out of 65), so their answer would resolve to 35% I hope that's clear.
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@JoshuaWilkes According to Wikipedia, I think this resolves:
CNRT 47.7% (31/65)
Freitlin 29.2% (19/65)
Democratic Party 9.2% (6/65)
KHUNTO 7.7% (5/65)
PLP 6.2% (4/65)
@DanMan314 yeah, I've been waiting until today because the supreme court is supposed to certify it, but for all I know that already happened in Portuguese. If nothing happens today I'll resolve it tomorrow morning
https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/East-Timor-opposition-comes-out-top-in-parliamentary-election
It's being reported as 'preliminary' results for now, so I'll hold off for a bit