Resolution criteria

This market resolves based on whether John Harbaugh and Kevin Stefanski are hired as NFL head coaches during the 2026 offseason. Resolution will be determined by official NFL announcements and verified through league sources (NFL.com, team official announcements, or major sports news outlets like ESPN, NFL Network).

• Both: Both Harbaugh and Stefanski are hired as head coaches by April 2nd 2026

• One: Exactly one of them is hired as a head coach by April 2nd 2026

• Neither: Neither is hired as a head coach by April 2nd 2026

Background

The Ravens fired John Harbaugh after missing the playoffs, and Stefanski was fired by the Browns after six years, two playoff appearances, and two Coach of the Year awards. Within 45 minutes of Harbaugh's firing, his agent received calls from seven NFL teams expressing interest. The Giants will interview Stefanski for their head coaching job, and Harbaugh is expected to emerge as a favorite for the Giants job but will be in demand for many other teams as well. There are currently seven NFL head coach openings.

Considerations

Both coaches are among the most sought-after candidates in this cycle. John Harbaugh is the best coach available on the open market, while Stefanski's firing might be the best thing for him, as he will instantly be a hot commodity with few top offensive minds available. However, the number of available head coaching positions is limited, and both coaches will compete against other strong candidates for the same jobs.