Resolves to all that are true. I will add more as the season progresses.
I may bet unless something appears or becomes subjective, in which case I will not bet. If something unexpectedly becomes subjective after I've already established a position I will outsource resolution if necessary.
I don't promise to watch so religiously that I don't miss any of these, so bettors should proactively seek resolutions, but I do promise to go back and check time stamps if provided.
I will close this set of questions the day before the finale is broadcast on Nebula, and will not resolve until it has been shown on YouTube. Obviously information will have been transferred in many markets before then, so participate at your own risk of spoilers.
Likewise individual markets will resolve after relevant evidence is on YouTube.
*Will interpret quite liberally what counts as 'someone' if there is an apple shooting challenge
** Before the finale is broadcast on Nebula. Either a link or a screenshot.
***This includes Zurich, Basel, Geneva, Bern, Lausanne and Winterthur. It refers to the municipality not the greater urban area. I will not bet.
COMMENT CLARIFICATIONS:
"I want to get out ahead of this. If we don't see footage of someone eating fondue, it won't count "
"Things we see or here during the 'outro' where the producers talk directly to camera in a studio setting do not count."
"for the season ten market I'm going to tighten this up and try and remove any ambiguity. But I think it's too late for this market so I'll just try to add layers instead:
My preference is this:
for cases which are comparable to fondue, we follow the fondue precedent and say you have to see it in the episode.
for cases where physical location is relevant, if the information we have reveals it must be true, even if we don't see it it should resolve true.
(eg if someone takes a train that briefly passes through Grisons but they don't show footage of that part, it should resolve YES)
The big caveat with this is that I've said I might outsource resolution for subjective cases where I've already bet. So unfortunately the above is as much a guide for whoever resolves this as it is a definitive statement"
https://manifold.markets/JoshuaWilkes/in-jet-lag-the-game-season-nine-tru?r=Sm9zaHVhV2lsa2Vz
Here is the poll to decide how to resolve this
@JoshuaWilkes in an ideal world this would get more votes than the question had holders, so 18+, but if it's close and no-one objects I'll just use the answer. If the poll gets very little response I reserve the right to pursue another solution
We didn't get close to 'quorum', but the results were fairly clear. I will ask for this to be resolved to NO unless someone objects with a good argument within 24 hours
Okay, so in episode 4 there is what can only be described as a total shitstorm in terms of resolving two of the questions. Again, I'm not going to explain why until next week, but I've resolved them now because I really don't want people trading off what they think I might do instead of what took place in the episode.
I have resolved Snack Zone to YES. This will stand. I anticipate there will be some debate over this, and if people really want to litigate it I'll hand it over for adjudication, but my position is that it's very hard to argue with the statement "We got an episode of the Snack Zone".
I have resolved Choo Choo Chew to percentage. After next week I will run a poll on whether this should be YES, NO or N/A, and have a mod re-resolve it to the result. Frankly this one is a nightmare, but if you don't have Nebula you'll have to wait to see why.
As before, please feel free to DM me to discuss, but don't put spoilers here .
@JoshuaWilkes People who only watch on YouTube still won't know, because it's revealed on the Layover, but Sam and Adam went through Ben's hiding station on an express service and then came back to him on a local train, but it was intentional and they basically knew he was there.
I NAed because it seems to be a conflict between what is technically true and what is in the spirit of the question.
@JoshuaWilkes if something happens, definitively (i.e., has proof, happens during gameplay / not during rest period), but the edit doesn't show it, will the market resolve Yes?
For example, if someone most definitely went to The Canton of the Grisons, but for edit or continuity reasons, they don't show it (but there is clear other proof, such as a train connection they made, or an off-show interview before it's over, etc), would that still count?
edit: and not talking about fondue, you're clear about that one
edit 2: added note about it happening during gameplay for clarification, above
@andrew For the season ten market I'm going to tighten this up and try and remove any ambiguity. But I think it's too late for this market so I'll just try to add layers instead:
My preference is this:
for cases which are comparable to fondue, we follow the fondue precedent and say you have to see it in the episode.
for cases where physical location is relevant, if the information we have reveals it must be true, even if we don't see it it should resolve true.
(eg if someone takes a train that briefly passes through Grisons but they don't show footage of that part, it should resolve YES)
The big caveat with this is that I've said I might outsource resolution for subjective cases where I've already bet. So unfortunately the above is as much a guide for whoever resolves this as it is a definitive statement.
@JoshuaWilkes I did imply this down below, which I will argue gives me cover here. Luckily I haven't bet on this question and I won't.
@mana this is a bit controversial, but I reckon that they will probably stop calling them this, just because it's technically incorrect and it seems obvious they were doing so in reference to Tag.
We'll see! I don't think 'hides' sounds particularly natural either
(I'll edit answers if I feel it's necessary but possibly they'll be resolved before then)
@PaintspotInfez it means they use the boat to travel from one place to another (however short), as opposed to using a boat in a pond for fun or similar