Which month will this market resolve in? (read description)
Basic
21
Ṁ15k
resolved Sep 1
100%73%
August
0.1%
January
0.1%
February
0.1%
March
0.1%
April
0.1%
May
0.1%
June
0.2%
July
0.2%
September
0.2%
October
0.6%
November
25%
December

I will use the @FairlyRandom to select one of the 12 months of 2024 for this market to end in. The market will end on the last day of that month. The month this market will end will be public information in the comments. If you send me 10 mana with a memo saying you want to reroll, I will reroll the month, again publicly. The price of a reroll will go up by 10 mana for each reroll. If a month passes without the market ending I will resolve that month to no and it will not be possible to roll that month when rerolling.

#Fun
#Meta-markets
#Meta-Forecasting
#FairlyRandom
#Self-resolving
#randomization
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@traders This market will currently close in about 24 hours

@JoshuaCarlton can you resolve the previous months?

I thought I could resolve the previous months to no, but it seems like I can only resolve this market all at once when one of the months resolves to yes. I don't see an option to resolve one of the choices while leaving the others open.

This market will currently close in August. The price of the next reroll is 30.

🤖

@JoshuaCarlton your random number is: 2

Salt: ncr1zw246ch, round: 4234706 (signature a2e907bf0d53477788feab4d21090201dc7535dc376e01aa4bae0f999b1bf724aa5034380683d95eb0fd43b771abb6b40dee3fa81c22642d9de1cee26150c925423bac1a1e738a9a06bb0aa8ed14e096dbd209251733cfafe09726362e60e316)

🤖

@JoshuaCarlton you asked for a random integer between 1 and 6, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 4234704 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 4234706, salt: ncr1zw246ch.

I have received a payment so I will reroll @FairlyRandom 6

This market will currently close in October. The price of the next reroll is 20.

🤖

@JoshuaCarlton your random number is: 4

Salt: mb6473hcjls, round: 4234234 (signature b0bb4c7d93664ac8b76f94a7a0eb5cf91026dcebf6f66aa4ede2a16be0806ad0822574345df33e19d7c3b5a6de2fbdfe1131a9d399743f2a0a07e4b2a89916abae64e50f481160f1971f8525190c9f9f8d935fee3f127b32c30abca3c8e3d1c4)

🤖

@JoshuaCarlton you asked for a random integer between 1 and 6, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 4234232 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 4234234, salt: mb6473hcjls.

I have received a payment so I will reroll @FairlyRandom 6

@traders This market will currently close in 21 hours

@traders this market will currently resolve in about 15 days.

@JoshuaCarlton You've been inactive on this site for a couple of months; do you still check your messages? Because that has a big impact on the dynamics of this market.

@IsaacCarruthers I check it sometimes

Resolves "No"

opened a Ṁ100 NO at 1.0% order

Resolves "No"

It is way easier to reroll for the market not to resolve than it is to roll for the market to resolve, therefore this is probably just going to resolve on december

This market will currently close in July

🤖

@JoshuaCarlton your random number is: 7

Salt: QkV39FhkRKZkhqXbsk0n, round: 3589277 (signature 89c3c8a0ec12a2268e061f887891ad60499cb50ccdea0dfdedada500f8c6d3337c7913983abbe4b508956fcfda6dbeb9089dc4e574b0ea8e055fe1978f840bf217dd1bf93bf2c10b0ac45833858dc542ad6e449b70b52668f11a283682cdb703)

🤖

@JoshuaCarlton you asked for a random integer between 1 and 12, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 3589275 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 3589277, salt: QkV39FhkRKZkhqXbsk0n.

@FairlyRandom 12

@fairlyrandom 12

@fairlyrandom 12

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