Will the linked market have at least 95 traders before it closes?
14
270Ṁ69k
resolved May 12
Resolved
YES

Uh, I may have made some poor investments, and I was thinking that this set of markets could be a good way to uh, "make my investments less poor!" Anyways,

the linked market is right here!

Resolves based on the number of traders displayed under the Market Details Tab when the linked market closes

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predictedNO

Man I got wrecked on this one - as others have said, the ladder structure was ingenious. Well played!

@AngolaMaldives Now, THAT is a graceful loss. #Admire

market has 99 traders

I feel like most of the probability mass of my betting is @seaton closing and re-opening the market quickly before it hits whatever milestone...

predictedNO

@JoshuaB Which... by the way... @seaton I'd give you 1000 Mana if you did that... just sayin'... wouldn't even be that dishonorable...

@JoshuaB
that'd literally be dishonorable

@Suston gonna trade on that market now hehe

predictedNO

@Suston But like... why right? Doesn't seem too bad to me. Don’t even think there’s a precedent of prematurely closing and reopening markets being frowned upon

predictedNO

@JoshuaB ^don't fact check that, cause I sure haven't

@JoshuaB @JoshuaB i think when it's self-revolving it does break the structure of the game. Yesterday there was a market about commenting and then the creator blocked everyone to prevent from commenting. It was quite dishonorable and led to admins delisting it and trustworthy users calling it out as an example of bad markets

predictedNO

@Messi Well, I guess what I'm saying is that by closing and re-opening the market @seaton would not be manipulating the self-resolving aspect of it, they'd merely be manipulating a secondary market about it, which generally speaking, isn't that frowned upon (now, I think that it's definitely questionable in this specific circumstance... but, hey, might as well try to encourage folks to help me make a quick buck)

I really like how this ladder structure encourages the market get to 100. Like “if 60 was so easy, we’re probably hitting 65” on so on. Well done.

@TobyBW The market has less faith in the plan than you do :-P

I mean I don’t think it’s getting to 100, but at least you’ve given a potential good method of getting it there.

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