Will someone other than Joe Biden win at least one state in the 2024 Democratic Primary?
Basic
242
58k
resolved Jun 5
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if a candidate besides Joe Biden gets a plurality of votes in at least one State's Democratic Primary (or the relevant equivalent for the various Democratic Caucuses)

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This resolves NO, right? The only remaining primaries are Guam and Virgin Islands and those are not states, right?

@MartinModrak Sure seems so!

@twink_joan_didion And he pissed off the entire state political apparatus by trying to put South Carolina in the poll position among state primaries (pun fully intended). He probably can't win NH now that it will require a write-in campaign.

@twink_joan_didion And he won the state anyway

Title says "state", but rules say "primary or caucus". Which one is true?

predicted NO

@MaybeNotDepends Shucks, this is a good question! Kinda forgot that non-states have primaries. Thanks for pointing this out ahead of time!

I'm going to change the description to match the title, since that seems like the more natural interpretation of this question given the title. If anyone was betting because of places like Samoa or Guam, say something and I’ll try to somehow reimburse ya!

Edit: Also, if someone has a strong opinion that this was the wrong choice, ya can state yer case and I’ll hear you out, but I’ll be quite hesitant to change again

New Hampshire counts, right? Even in the event that Biden's name isn't on the ballot for some weird technicality reason?

predicted NO

@twink_joan_didion Yup. New Hampshire definitely counts.

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