What percentage of the vote will the third most popular candidate get in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Basic

Ṁ3199

resolved Dec 2

100%99.0%

<=1% and >0.1%

0.1%

<=0.1%

0.3%

<=2% and >1%

0.3%

<=5% and >2%

0.1%

<=10% and >5%

0.1%

>10%

Resolves based on the percentage of the popular vote that the candidate with the third highest number of votes gets.

2020 - Jo Jorgensen (0 Electoral Votes, 1.87m Popular Votes, cc 1.12%)

2016 - Gary "What is Aleppo" Johnson (0 Electoral Votes, 4.49m Popular Votes, cc 3.28%)

2012 - Gary "Before What Is Aleppo" Johnson (0 Electoral Votes, 1.28m Popular Votes, cc 0.99%)

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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1,000

and

3.00

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Seems like it’ll end up around 0.5% as Jill Stein/RFK. I feel confident it won’t change enough to change the bucket

sold Ṁ48 NO

Seems like it’ll prolly be between 0.1 and 1, dunno how long to wait to resolve, but it’d certainly be imprudent to resolve now

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