Will Taylor Swift be the Time Magazine Reader's Choice Person of the Year 2023?
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1.3kṀ26kresolved Dec 6
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YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if Taylor is named Reader's Choice Person of the Year by Time Magazine for 2023. Resolves No otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@Conflux Sorry, I thought you meant there was a spike, which there wasn’t, I notice now.
Because she’s awesome?
@NicoDelon why buy this up, as opposed to the free response version, if you think the probability is higher? Shouldn't the value on this market always match the corresponding value in the multichoice, or am I missing something?
@DanMan314 Good question. The spread out nature of the free response version seems to be driving down the percentages easily, but you’re right that I should bet it up even more there.