resolved Sep 24

This resolves Yes if I meet someone distinctly barbarian-y, No if I meet no one at all barbarian-y, and 50% if I'm unsure whether the people I meet are barbarian-y enough to justify a full Yes or No.

I imagine that a barbarian is very large and very strong. They might have an impressive tolerance for pain, a sense of when danger is near, and the ability to channel their rage towards the destruction of their enemies. They might be very good at holding their liquor, but not very good at holding obscure knowledge in their memory. They probably are not wearing much in the way of armor, in order to show off their muscles.

It is okay if I meet the barbarian outside of Manifest itself, as long as it's still on my trip to Berkely from Friday-Monday.

I may post comments when I spot possible barbarians, although I may not go out of my way to talk to them as the conference will probably be pretty busy.

As this is entirely vibes-based, I will not trade on this market.

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@hath was very strong, had an injury he was tolerating the pain of, and beat me in finger wrestling.

predicted NO

Keri Warr?

Happy to meet them!

sold Ṁ20 of NO

@Joshua He is hosting a session on wrestling and balance games today

bought Ṁ45 of YES

@JonathanRay Currently in the park

bought Ṁ100 of NO

i imagine most barbarians would not be interested in prediction markets, i imagine they are too busy doing barbarian activities (e.g. sacking rome, raiding english port villages, having long beards, etc)

bought Ṁ10 of YES

You will meet them at the gate

bought Ṁ25 of YES

Going long on barbarians. Surely there will be a barbarian security guard or something


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