Where will Ilya Sutskever work next after OpenAI, before 2025?
208
2.9kṀ49kresolved Jun 19
100%99.7%
A new company - Ilya will officially leave Open AI before 2025, and found a company before officially joining any existing company.
0.2%
Never leaves - Ilya will work at OpenAI continuously until 2025
0.0%
OpenAI again - Ilya will officially leave OpenAI before 2025, but will then officially rejoin OpenAI without having officially joined any other company.
0.0%
Remains Unemployed - Ilya will officially leave Open AI before 2025, and will not officially join any other company after that.
0.0%
Anthropic
0.0%
Microsoft
0.0%
xAI/X/Anything Elon Controlled
0.0%
Facebook/Meta
0.0%
Google/Alphabet
0.0%
Apple
0.0%
Mistral
0.0%
Conjecture
0.0%
Redwood Research
0.0%Other
There's been much speculation that after he helped fire Sam Altman, Ilya Sutskever won't be at OpenAI for long.
This resolves to the first answer which becomes true. So if he leaves OpenAI, joins Anthropic, then joins Meta this still resolves to Anthropic. Counts only full time employment.
If Ilya doesn't leave OpenAI, then this resolves to "Ilya will work at OpenAI continuously until January 1st, 2025". I will be strict in counting what qualifies as him officially leaving. If he says "I quit" in an argument but doesn't sign any papers and is back the same day then he never officially left, for example.
I may update these criteria if someone suggests improvements within the spirit of the market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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