Full answer (didn't fit in title character limit):
Sam was "extremely good at becoming powerful", too often getting his way in various conflicts with the board. Past board members and employees who opposed him, on a variety of issues, were forced out. They wanted a less powerful CEO.
This is one in a series of polls which resolve a variant of the main Sam Altman Firing Market:
I leave it up to the voters to define what they consider a significant factor. Each option will resolve independently to yes/no depending on if yes or no gets more votes in these polls.
I'm not sure if a poll is the best way to resolve markets around a mysterious event like this, but I think it's good for us to try out a lot of different formats so that we will better know what works for next time there is a mysterious event in the news.
I encourage you to write out your reasoning for your votes in the comments here or in the linked market.
1,000
3.00I wrote this submission myself for Sophia's market, going to re-post my comment from there giving more context into my wording if it matters to anyone's vote:
"I wrote this answer in an attempt to give pro-Sam people something accurate they could bet on without calling him a liar.
The first sentence was my attempt to capture Sam's proficiency for beating rivals at corporate politics without explicitly condemning him as dishonest. The second was my attempt to sum up the Anthropic drama, the drama over previously vacated board seats, and the attempted ousting of Toner. The third sentence was was again an attempt to rephrase Ezra's sentiment here:
They felt they couldn't control Sam. If you like Sam, you say that's because he's a very effective CEO and the board was power-hungry. If you don't like Sam, you say it was the board being responsible and that Sam was a sociopath. I don't think either of those is exactly true, but we had a lot of answers representing the later perspective so I thought adding one that represented the former was a good idea."
Up to Sophia how she wants to judge it, but that was my intention."