Biden vs Trump Polling Average - When will Biden retake the lead?
544
12kṀ280kresolved Jul 23
100%98%
Not before Election Day
0.0%
Before February 1st
0.1%
February
0.1%
March
0.4%
April
0.3%
May
0.1%
June
0.3%
July
0.3%
August
0.3%
September
0.4%
October 1st - Election Day, November 5th
Average will be taken from RCP 2-way average.
Trump took the lead on September 11th, and has held it since.
This market resolves to the month in which RCP is updated to show Biden in the lead, or else "Not before Election Day". Resolves based on Pacific Time if there is ambiguity. This is the date that RCP is updated, not the date the polling took place.
You can find more questions like this on the polling dashboard.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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