Will this market stay at at least 69% for at least 69 total days (out of 420)?
Self-resolving•Unranked
19
205
Ṁ150
resolved Aug 15
Resolved
YES

This market will be open for 420 days (unless it resolves early). If the total amount of time during which the displayed probability (rounded to the nearest % for the relevant values) is at least 69% is at least 69 days, then it will resolve YES. Otherwise, it resolves NO at close.

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predicted YES

Can confirm it's been more than 69 days

bought Ṁ2,000 of YES

@JosephNoonan Please resolve.

bought Ṁ65 of NO

Jul 26 9:29:35 = 68%

predicted YES

@8 This isn't the continuous one, though. It only needs to be above 69% for a total of 69 days. It's already been about 58.

predicted NO

@JosephNoonan FUDFCAHFJAJJK

predicted NO

@JosephNoonan thats why i should read

bought Ṁ100 of YES

@8 You should have known because the continuous one is at a much lower probability

>= 69 since 5/30 12:32:34.6 EDT

yay

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