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only one correct way to resolve this.
if it resolves to NA it should resolve to yes -><-

if it resolves to yes it should resolve to no -><-

if it resolves to PROB it should resolve to no -><-

if it resolves to NO it should resolve to NO. QED

failure modes (unlikely):
- The market creator gets it wrong (doesn't seem likely)

- The market creator won't resolve (no reason it shouldn't)

Sorry, no reason he shouldn't.

@MichaelLatowicki Yeah, the market's probability is surprisingly high given that there is only one logical outcome. Maybe the logic being explicitly spelled out will make more people bet NO.

@JosephNoonan how do you interpret resolving a market to PROB? What does that mean in your opinion?

@MichaelLatowicki It's not the same as resolving to N/A. So if this market were to resolve to PROB, that means that it should resolve NO.