Will @NickAllen misresolve his April Fool's market? | Manifold

Will @NickAllen misresolve his April Fool's market?

#Manifold #Meta-markets #Controversial markets #Meta-markets on improper resolution #Meta-markets on controversial resolution

17

223

Ṁ895

Ṁ350

resolved Jan 19

Resolved

N/A

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Nick Allen created the following market and is considering resolving it NO as an April Fool's joke:

https://manifold.markets/NickAllen/this-market-will-resolve-yes-on-apr

This market will resolve yes on April 1, 2024.

70% chance. I won't bet in it.

This market resolves YES if Nick Allen resolves the market to NO or a probability other than 100%, or if the market is resolved to YES before April 1, 2024. It will resolve to NO if the market is resolved YES on or after April 1, 2024. If the market is resolved N/A or somehow ceases to exist, this market will resolve N/A.

This is all about the initial resolution. Re-resolutions don't matter.

Get Ṁ600 play money

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@PlasmaBallin This market shouldn't resolve NA. The market creator misresolved to NA today, this should now resolve YES

Edit: nevermind my bad they specified what would happen if it's resolved NA

sold Ṁ15 of YES

Resolves N/A @PlasmaBallin

bought Ṁ10 of NO

Isn't this functionally just a copy of my original question, though?

sold Ṁ3 of NO

No, because of the possibility of re-resolutions (and also the stuff about early YES resolutions)

@NickAllen Always has been

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