Will any state be decided by <0.5% in the 2024 election?
13
36
250
Dec 1
73%
chance

In any state, will the margin of victory for the winning candidate (their percentage of votes, minus the second-place candidate's) be <0.5%? This happened in two states (Georgia and Arizona) in 2020.

Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
bought Ṁ10 of YES

Out of the six elections this century, there has only been one where no state was decided by <.5%, so I think the chances of this are pretty high.

predicts YES

@JosephNoonan Also, what the fuck happened in Oregon in 2000? How was it so close?