Do Manifolders believe in the multiverse?

12

closes Oct 8

76%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Amount

Ṁ0

Ṁ50

Ṁ100

Payout if YES

Ṁ13 +31%

New probability

77% +0.7%

My Manifold survey asks whether the multiverse exists, with the following options:

Almost certainly

It likely exists.

I'm completely agnostic.

It likely doesn't exist.

Almost certainly not

I will treat these as a linear scale and calculate the average, i.e., (I will convert "Almost certainly" into 100%, "It likely exists," into 75%, "I'm completely agnostic," into 50%, etc.). Resolves YES if the average is >50%.

Get Ṁ500 play money

## Related questions

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bashmaesterpredicts NO

Chances are there are infinitely many universes in which this resolves to NO, but I had to be stuck in this one…

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0 YES payouts

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