Going to resolve this NO since there's no evidence of such a market and admins will have to be called if the resolution is different anyways.

I made m100 on the investment thesis that December 2023 is after August 2023.

@MartinRandall So far. Admin clawbacks don't respect causality, so it could still turn into a loss.

@Mira I just need two more days without Manifold devs accidentally printing a billion mana.

@MartinRandall Bad news - I've already found 3 infinite mana exploits in multibinary markets. They are all supposedly "fixed", but... the fix allows me and nobody else to print a billion mana right now if the bank lent me enough seed capital. And that's just the multibinary-based ones.

This YES-buying account looks extremely suspicious, and I'm sure if I put 100k on NO I would lose everything. Maybe it would even be legal. I'm not planning to rig this market, but if I stumble on infinite mana exploits without even trying I'm sure people putting in effort have a dozen stockpiled to use as weapons.

This market is a bit like disarming landmines I think. Step carefully.

Do exploits count? Do multiple response markets count? After the other market I don't know what is up with this series now.