🏅 Top traders

@JonathanRay Could you please resolve? Thanks!

4/12 12:16:04 - 6/20 12:17:40 PDT

69 days

Feels like a real stock. Not those dead ones on Manifold.

It would currently take just Ṁ2140 to lower this market's probability to 68%. This information might be important for those who are trying to be promoted in the Leagues, because this market is publicly listed.

Tho I haven't done the calculations how much those NO shares would be worth after the purchase, so this kind of attack might cost up to Ṁ1k.

@MayMeta M2,056 to bring to 69% (not above 69%), 10,235 shares @ 69% = 7,062.15 EV?

@XComhghall when the probability is at 69% and you're one of the only NO shareholders, selling your position will result a severe price slippage, so this 10,235 NO shares would be impossible to sell for anything close to 7,062

Can this market be changed so that it closes at a more reasonable time (the end of 2023, maybe)?

@8 That wouldn't be fair to the people who bought YES assuming that it would be open for longer. I assume it wouldn't be so high if the close date was actually set to a reasonable time.

@8

I thought this was a different similar market that I was looking at when I bought into it, sigh.

Resolves yes at 12:16pm on June 20 if there are no further excursions below 70%

I’m switching sides

So this can only resolve YES or not at all, right?

@A No, it'll resolve NO in 4946 years.

Previously: