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As Kathleen O’Neill Paese, stated inflation continues to ease in the coming months and Tom Barkin have suggested that economy might slow down and bring inflation down.

@JonathanRay excluding food and fuel it's 3.6%, and food alone is 4.7%. Mostly driven by energy apparently, so the case for a hike is not as strong.

@JonathanRay so basically, two more quarter point hikes. For practical purposes effective>5.5 is the same outcome as top>5.5 unless they do increments smaller than a quarter point, which they won't.

@JonathanRay current range is 5-5.25, so two more 25bps hikes would put the bottom edge at 5.5. so you meant to write bottom edge, right?

@chrisjbillington two hikes would be the smallest number of 0.25 hikes to make the top edge strictly greater than 5.5