What probability will a superintelligent AI assign to the proposition that Stalin was poisoned?
3
90Ṁ213101
35%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves prob whenever I can put the question to a truthful superintelligent AI that has full access to historical archives.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
How well can a superintelligence predict a coin flip?
How should AI Superintelligence be defined, in terms of IQ?
Will the top AI system in 2100 think it is >1% likely there exists a universe with ℶ₃₇ sentient beings?
21% chance
Will humanity wipe out superintelligent AI before 2040?
15% chance
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2050?
72% chance