In 2100, humanity will not be extinct but all human pathogens will be eradicated
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14
Ṁ572
2101
14%
chance

Pathogens modified to do something beneficial, or kept locked away in a lab, don't count.

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What about germs not known to be harmful or beneficial?

@MartinRandall this question only includes pathogens, which are by definition harmful. If it was generally harmful in the wild but now it only exists in a beneficial use case, like using certain worms to treat ulcerative colitis, then it no longer counts as a pathogen.

Is this market conditional on Humanity not being extinct?

predicts NO

@ElliotDavies It's a conjunction, not a conditional. If humanity is extinct this resolves NO.

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