Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Spain defeats France in their 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinal match, thereby advancing to the final. This includes a victory achieved in regular time, extra time, or via a penalty shootout.

This market resolves to NO if France defeats Spain and advances to the final.

If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until the match is played. If the match is cancelled entirely or not completed by July 25, 2026, the market will resolve to N/A.

The primary source of truth for this market will be the official match results published on the FIFA World Cup website.

Background

Spain and France are scheduled to meet in the first semifinal of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on Tuesday, July 14, 2026, at Dallas Stadium in Arlington, Texas.

Spain secured their spot in the semifinals with a late 2-1 victory over Belgium in the quarterfinals, thanks to an 88th-minute winner from Mikel Merino. France advanced to the semifinals after defeating Morocco. Both nations entered the 2026 World Cup among the top favorites to win the tournament. This match marks only their second meeting in World Cup history, with France winning their sole previous encounter 3-1 in the Round of 16 at the 2006 World Cup.