The outcome of this question will be resolved according to data from the "Threads Historical User Counts" table on Quiver Quantitative :
https://www.quiverquant.com/threadstracker/
Resolution will happen according to US Eastern Time and will be based on the first time the threshold crosses 200M users if it happens before August 1st or the last historical update from July 31st when it becomes available.
If the website is not available for 2 days or more after the question closes, the question will resolve as NO.
If the last historical update from July 31st is less than 200M and the first update from August 1st is more than 200M the question will resolve as NO even if it is reported elsewhere that Threads crossed the 200M threshold before August 1st.
If Quiver Quantitative reports 200M in historical data corresponding to a datetime prior to August 1st, the question will resolve as YES even if it is reported elsewhere that Threads did not hit this threshold (e.g. if it was rounded up on the reporting website).
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ116 | |
| 2 | Ṁ42 | |
| 3 | Ṁ30 | |
| 4 | Ṁ23 | |
| 5 | Ṁ12 |
@PC - this will resolve as soon as a data point after July 31st is posted showing less than 200M users. This should happen soon, and I'm very confident that this will resolve as NO, but I want to do it according to the strict rules set out in the description. Although extremely unlikely, it is still theoretically possible for Quiver Quantitative to release a backdated data point from July 31st with 200M or more users (say if they updated their methodology AND got something very wrong). If no further updates are posted for 2 days, the question will resolve as NO.
