Will a member of my debate team win the "Top Speaker" award at our April debate tournament?

Question

My team will be approximately 30-35 out of the 110 or so competitors. On the other hand, we've won top speaker at 3 out of the last 5 tournaments.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 48% chance (21 traders, as of Apr 20, 2026).

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