The Dutch elections are long over, but no governing coalition is in sight.

The party with the most votes is the PVV, led by Geert Wilders. However, many of the other parties holding significant numbers of seats after the election have stated that they would never form a coalition with Wilders and the PVV.

Will a governing coalition be formed in the Dutch Tweede Kamer before July 1st 2024?

Note: If there are new elections in the Netherlands, but a coalition is still formed before July 1st 2024, the result of this market will still be considered YES.