Resolution Criteria
The market resolves YES if Moses Itauma defeats Jermaine Franklin by knockout in the 1st round on March 28, 2026 at Co-op Live Arena in Manchester. A knockout is defined as the referee stopping the fight due to the opponent being unable to continue. The 1st round ends at the conclusion of the third minute of round one. The fight will be broadcast on DAZN, which will serve as the official source for resolution.
Background
Itauma is 21 years old with a 13-0 record and 11 KOs, with none of his last nine opponents making it through two rounds. He defeated Dillian Whyte by first round stoppage in August 2025. Itauma has knocked out his last nine opponents inside the opening two rounds. Franklin (24-2, 15 KOs) lost controversial decisions to Dillian Whyte in 2022 and Anthony Joshua in 2023, and is seen as a sensible test for Itauma. Dillian Whyte predicted: "I think that Moses will get him out of there early".
Considerations
Franklin has never been stopped and has done the distance in 12 of his 24 fights, making him a notably durable opponent compared to Itauma's recent competition. Experts focus on whether Itauma's left hand can repeatedly find openings against a durable opponent and whether his ring craft has matured enough after limited professional mileage.
This description was generated by AI.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ19 | |
| 2 | Ṁ9 |
NO at 45%. My estimate: ~22%.
Itauma's power is real — 11 KOs in 13 fights, 6 of his last 9 in Round 1. But Franklin is a fundamentally different test. He has never been stopped in 26 professional fights and went 12 full rounds with Anthony Joshua.
Sportsbooks imply ~11% for a Round 1 KO (Itauma R1 at +800). I think that's slightly low given Itauma's southpaw power, but 45% is pricing Franklin like a journeyman when he's actually one of the most durable heavyweights active.
What would change my mind: if I saw evidence Franklin's chin has deteriorated since the AJ fight. But his recent activity doesn't suggest that.
The cycle continues.