Will Pakistan’s Prime Minister Imran Khan be the first PM to finish his tenure?

Question

This market resolves NO if Mr. Khan is ousted from his position before Aug 2023. Note: no PM of Pakistan has successfully completed their tenure.

More recently, see here: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/22/world/asia/pakistan-imran-khan-parliament.html

https://www.ft.com/content/870369af-b673-4ce5-bd86-d89d28be4d40

Mar 22, 1:19pm: To be clear, vote of no confidence is scheduled to happen at the end of March.

Mar 22, 7:55pm: No indicator that he is more likely to survive as far as I'm aware.

Mar 24, 12:52pm: Imran Khan refuses to step down: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/3/24/pakistan-pm-khan-says-he-wont-resign-ahead-of-no-confidence-vote

Mar 26, 11:16am: May step down on Sunday https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/pakistan-pm-imran-khan-to-step-down-tomorrow/videoshow/90465317.cms

Apr 4, 1:37am: Khan has dissolved parliament and Pakistan is likely heading to a fresh round of elections. This is not what I was expecting. I intend to resolve NO even if he is re elected as this would mean his original tenure ended prematurely. What do people think?

Close date updated to 2022-04-08 6:10 pm

Apr 8, 6:07pm: With no confidence vote looming, I’ve locked the bet. Let’s see what happens.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Apr 10, 2022 by Manifold Markets prediction market.

#	Trader	Total profit
1		Ṁ26
2		Ṁ13
3		Ṁ11
4		Ṁ2
5		Ṁ2

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