Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to YES if Magic Kingdom at Walt Disney World hosts at least one official nighttime fireworks spectacular on every single calendar night from August 12, 2026, through September 10, 2026 (inclusive, Eastern Time).
This market will resolve to NO if, on any calendar night within this date range, no fireworks show is performed at Magic Kingdom for any reason—including but not limited to severe weather, high winds, technical failures, schedule alterations, or park closures.
Clarifications:
What counts: Both the standard Happily Ever After show and the special party-exclusive Disney’s Not-So-Spooky Spectacular (shown during Mickey's Not-So-Scary Halloween Party nights) count as valid fireworks shows.
Delays: A show that is delayed but is ultimately performed on that calendar day (even if late) will count toward a YES resolution.
Projections-only modifications: If a show is modified to run with projections only (meaning no actual fireworks are launched due to wind or safety issues), it will not count as a fireworks show, and the market will resolve to NO.
Verification: Resolution will be determined using the official Walt Disney World schedule, or reports from reputable Disney park news outlets such as WDW News Today (WDWNT), BlogMickey, or WDWMagic.
Background
While Magic Kingdom schedules a nighttime spectacular for every evening of the year, late summer in Central Florida brings challenging weather. August and September represent the peak of the Atlantic hurricane and storm season, which can bring high-altitude winds, heavy lightning, or severe storms to the Orlando area.
During this period, Magic Kingdom's schedule is divided between regular park nights featuring Happily Ever After and select ticketed nights for Mickey's Not-So-Scary Halloween Party, which feature Disney’s Not-So-Spooky Spectacular. Although a show is on the schedule for every night, inclement weather occasionally forces last-minute modifications or complete cancellations of the pyrotechnic elements.
This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.