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MANIFOLD
F1: Will Kimi Antonelli's championship lead grow from the Monaco Grand Prix?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ49
Jun 7
60%
chance

The Monaco GP set to take place on the 7th of June 2026 will mark another milestone in the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers' Championship. Currently, Kimi Antonelli is leading the Drivers' Standings with 131 points, while George Russell, his closest competitor and teammate, is 43 points behind at 88 points. But Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton also have a chance to reduce the championship lead, if they surpass George Russell and have a much greater race result than Kimi Antonelli.

Resolution criteria:

The market will resolve based on the official FIA race results published on the

Formula 1 official website.
If, after the Monaco Grand Prix has taken place on the 7th of June 2026 this 43-point gap between Kimi Antonelli and the #2 in the Drivers' Standings grows to a 44-point gap or greater, this market resolves as YES.

If, after the Monaco Grand Prix has taken place on the 7th of June 2026 this 43-point gap remains at 43 or is reduced to less than 43, this market resolves as NO.

If for any reason the Monaco Grand Prix is cancelled, or any unforeseen circumstances cause the Monaco Grand Prix to not take place by Sunday the 7th of June, this market still revolves to NO after closing.

The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
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Let me know if you have any questions about this market, or how it'll resolve. I assume it speaks for itself, but I'll closely monitor if anyone has any questions the upcoming week.

I gave the starting prediction of 56% based on some extrapolations from this market: /Muskat_fan/f1-monaco-gp-2026-winner, but honestly I'm probably off.