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Time to resolve this one?

https://twitter.com/sama/status/1607220186146541568

@FranklinBaldo I miss read this tweet

related

Based on the two tweets, it won't be this year (looks like December was the early date, everything takes longer than expected, and they already are thinking it will be next year.)

https://twitter.com/Killa_ru/status/1565740292342484994
Interesting Tweet

Win-Win Situation

Random tweet https://mobile.twitter.com/dharmesh/status/1584937053502177280

"Researcher from Anthropic puts in a big limit order on accelerated timelines" is definitely a mood. But I can't find anything that seems like anyone should have insider information.

@SamBowman penny for your thoughts? (In the form of a filled order)

@citrinitas Not trading on any information at all—just trying to exploit the huge difference between this market and another equivalent one: https://manifold.markets/bcongdon/will-a-successor-to-gpt3-eg-gpt4-be

But yeah, I guess I should keep an eye on what the markets are actually for...

(Bought a bunch of cheap 'no' on the other one.)

Ah, nice. A big chunk of my position is that multimodal is the big push and generative transformers don't have as much juice left.

Maybe we get a chinchilla-scaled GPT but I do agree that the other market should probably trade higher than this one

@SamBowman Imho there's a big difference between "announced" and "released"