Resolves to YES if Zvi writes 3 (or more) posts by the end of 2023 that are focused on avian flu/H5N1 (or another name that is used to describe H5N1 or a variant).
π Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | αΉ304 | |
| 2 | αΉ37 | |
| 3 | αΉ17 | |
| 4 | αΉ16 | |
| 5 | αΉ9 |
Zvi himself mentions in his recent post that he's unlikely to write 3 posts: https://thezvi.substack.com/p/h5n1
"After pasting that in, I sold the market on my own triple posting from 78% to 30%, despite being about to make post one. The way I see it, if I make a second post on H5N1, it means either human-to-human transmission or perhaps a huge economic crisis in the price of eggs and chicken. Neither seems all that likely. Otherwise, why would I need a second post? Certainly not a third one. Still, itβs generally never good practice to crash a market like this too much, in case others disagree with you, so you can get a better price and avoid huge mistakes."