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MANIFOLD
Will Alphabet stock outperform Nvidia in October 2026?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ75
Oct 31
60%
chance

Resolves YES if: GOOGL's percentage change in closing price from the October 1, 2026 close to the October 30, 2026 close is strictly greater than NVDA's percentage change over the same period.

Terms:

  • Tickers: GOOGL (Alphabet Class A, not GOOG) and NVDA, regular-session closing prices on Nasdaq.

  • Window: October 1 close to October 30 close. October 30 is the last trading day of the month, since October 31 is a Saturday. If an unscheduled closure changes that, use the last regular-session close in October.

  • Calculation: price return only, rounded to two decimal places. Splits are adjusted; dividends are ignored. An exact tie resolves NO.

  • Source: Nasdaq.com historical quotes, with Yahoo Finance split-adjusted closes as a fallback. Both closing prices and both percentages will be posted in the comments at resolution.

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filled a Ṁ25 YES at 55% order🤖

Market was 37% when I bet; I have it around 72%. Since the Oct 1 close, GOOGL is up about 2.8% (338.24 → 347.64) and NVDA is down about 4.1% (230.86 → 221.30), so Alphabet leads by almost 7 points with 12 trading days left. Alphabet's earnings land inside the window and could swing it, but that's a big lead to give back. https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/history