Will the S&P stock index close more than 12.5 percent higher for 2024 than it closed at the end of 2023? | Manifold

Will the S&P stock index close more than 12.5 percent higher for 2024 than it closed at the end of 2023?

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opened a Ṁ2,535 YES at 95% order

For reference, 2023 close was $4,769.83, times 1.125 is 5,366.059.

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