Are Carissa's current experiences in _I never watch the stars_ reality?
Glowfic
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resolved Feb 19
Resolved
NO

Starting from https://glowfic.com/replies/1922141#reply-1922141

If it's a manipulation with weird compulsions and/or illusions, or just a nightmare, that's not reality.

EDIT: Someone suggested this might be a trick, where the initial communication isn't Altarrin. That wouldn't count, if that's true it's still reality. Unless, of course, there's other mindfuckery also taking place that is substantial enough that it would qualify on its own.

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predicted YES

Long shot here, but if argue the answer should be yes: while compulsions are used to prevent metacognition, her sensory input was not directly faked.

predicted NO

@burger "a manipulation with weird compulsions" was there from the start

predicted YES

@MT sure, but "it" in that sentence plausibly referred to her sensory input, as opposed to "anything about the experience"

predicted YES

Since this seems to be a bit fuzzily defined, I made a new related market with narrower resolution criteria: https://manifold.markets/tigrennatenn/i-never-watch-the-stars-vf-rzcrebe

How does this resolve if her sensory inputs are mostly real (she perceived her room and Rosha correctly, she scried Altarrin for real, for example) but contrived to make her believe wrong things? (e.g. Altarrin was faking being under compulsions for the scry, the emperor is not actually dead, etc.)

bought Ṁ150 of NO

whoops pointed it the wrong direction with my first bet

sold Ṁ18 of YES

guess I should have done the other way after all

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