Nothing happens before November? (Read description)
17
Ṁ1kṀ9.5kresolved Oct 13
Resolved
NO1H
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1D
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1M
ALL
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by October 31, 2025, 11:59 ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Fed decreased by 50+ bps
- US federal government shutdown for 15+ days
- TikTok sale announced
- Hamas released all Israeli hostages
- Obama federally charged
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”
Mirror of poly market question linked below, I will reserve final judgement in cases of controversial resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@ChrisMillsc5f7 directly from the rules in polymarket, it’s very clear. That has already resolved over there too

bought Ṁ1,000 NO
resolves no @creator