This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by October 31, 2025, 11:59 ET:

- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Fed decreased by 50+ bps
- US federal government shutdown for 15+ days
- TikTok sale announced
- Hamas released all Israeli hostages
- Obama federally charged

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”

Mirror of poly market question linked below, I will reserve final judgement in cases of controversial resolution.

https://polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-october