Was the Jarun drone Ukrainian?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ282resolved Sep 10
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On March 11, an aircraft crashed in Jarun neighborhood of Zagreb, Croatia. It is suspected to be a Soviet reconnaissance drone Tu-141 Strizh. Ukraine says it's Russian, Russia says it's Ukrainian.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/mar/11/ukraine-military-drone-crashes-into-croatian-capital-zagreb
Resolves YES if the aircraft belonged to Ukrainian military.
Resolves NO if the aircraft belonged to Russian military, Belorussian military, or LNR/DNR.
Resolves N/A if the aircraft belonged to some other country or entity, or its origin is unknown by the end of March.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@M Sorry, I forgot about this market. Wikipedia claims it has unknown origin. Do you agree it's N/A?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Zagreb_Tu-141_crash
@Yev Yeah. I suspect that it is possible that neither Russia nor Ukraine leadership is really sure, and maybe even soldiers who fatfingered coordinates are not aware.
And given how many other more important things happened it is unlikely that we know any time soon.
Alternative is to keep it unresolved just in chance that we will learn something and let loan feature to handle giving back frozen funds
https://www.morh.hr/ministar-obrane-o-padu-letjelice-u-zagrebu-istraga-je-u-zavrsnoj-fazi-pronadena-je-crna-kutija/
> There are certain elements that could indicate that the aircraft came from both the Russian and Ukrainian sides, and that the investigation will take some time.
> The investigation has so far shown that this is not a reconnaissance aircraft
> Namely, it is a Soviet-made air bomb, which, like all other parts of the aircraft, was taken for analysis.