
Did ArbBot lose more than M$250 on England vs France match?
4
Ṁ110Ṁ558resolved Dec 13
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
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It looks like @ArbitrageBot has lost over M$500 on the following group of 4 markets:
Resolves YES if I'm convinced that it has has lost at least M$250. Resolves NO if I'm convinced that it didn't. This market will not resolve until all 4 of those markets have resolved.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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I think the issue was that /ManifoldMarkets/will-england-eliminate-france closed at 30% but did not resolve. ArbBot had a lot of NO shares on it, so its profit was undervalued.
I think ArbBot earned M$125: https://manifold.markets/group/fifa-2022-england-vs-france/leaderboards
I will resolve NO tomorrow unless anyone objects.