https://x.com/ProjectLincoln/status/1843302189600567407

"... the State of West Virginia will not recognize an election of a candidate for President during the 2024 election cycle if the Attorney General of West Virginia or the Secretary of State of West Virginia, in consultation with the West Virginia Legislature, determine that election fraud in any state was a major reason that resulted in a candidate for President obtaining a majority in the Electoral College"

What do we think?

The wording of the question is a bit off.

Resolves when the election is certified by the Electoral College.

The electoral college votes, it doesn't certify. I think you must mean, will Congress "certify" the electoral college vote. I put certify in quotes because I don't think that's the term that's used for this process, what they do is count the votes and resolve objections.

@jack Please read the question as whether the election is certified by January 6, 2025.

@JeffBerman my point is that state certification is a completely different process from the electoral college vote count. What happens on January 6 is to the best of my knowledge not "certification" in either a legal sense or common parlance, so the question as written is confusing.

Edit: actually I found some sources that do call it certification so that part is probably fine.

@jack If Congress votes to certify the presidential election by end of day Jan. 6, 2025, this market resolves NO. If Congress does not vote to certify the presidential election by end of day Jan. 6, 2025, this market resolves YES.

Yeah, that looks better. Although I'd remove the words "votes to" because they create ambiguity about whether a failed vote is yes or no.

Can you edit the market? Thanks!

@jack Good clarification. Thanks for the discussion.

State electors vote on Dec 17th: https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/key-dates

Thank you. I made an error in the date. I’m going to change it to January 6, 2025, the date the election is scheduled to be certified.

I see you made a substantial NO bet on the incorrect date. Need to give you the opportunity to rescind and reconsider.

Yes I bet on the market as authored. Thank you for your consideration: I request that you have the @mods N/A this market and create a fresh one with the new criteria.

Thank you. I’ll be in touch with them in the morning.

I've managed to exit my position taken on the pre-edit market. I have 193 mana available for anyone else not made whole by NAing or unwinding.

@JamesBaker3 I tried repeatedly in the wake of our conversation to reach @mods. My screen froze each time. I'm sorry I couldn't fix that from my end.

Is this the thing the January 6 assholes tried to prevent?

Emphasis on January 6