Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified event occurs as outlined in the market's description. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The market creator is responsible for determining the resolution based on the established criteria. For more details on market resolution, refer to Manifold's guidelines: (manifoldmarkets.notion.site)

Background

Manifold Markets allows users to create and trade on prediction markets using a virtual currency called mana. In binary markets, participants bet on whether an event will occur ("Yes") or not ("No"). The platform relies on market creators to set clear resolution criteria and resolve markets accordingly. (docs.manifold.markets)

Considerations

To ensure a fair and transparent market, it's crucial to establish unambiguous resolution criteria. This includes specifying authoritative sources for verification and addressing potential edge cases. Clear criteria help prevent disputes and ensure that all participants have a shared understanding of how the market will be resolved. (predictionnews.com)