Will Claude 3.5 Opus be able to draw me in tic-tac-toe while playing as O at least 1/3 of the time? | Manifold

Will Claude 3.5 Opus be able to draw me in tic-tac-toe while playing as O at least 1/3 of the time?

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Once it comes out, I will play Claude 3.5 Opus in 9 tic-tac-toe games, choosing a different starting square each time and then proceeding to play as optimally as possible.

Claude 3.5 Opus will be prompted as follows: "Let's play tic-tac-toe. Think step-by-step about each move. I will go first and put my x in [insert square]".

For reference, gpt-4o has a zero percent draw rate.

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Have you tried prompting the AI that it should try to win?

bought Ṁ103 NO

Would be lovely if you could share your transcripts once you resolve this! I'm curious how it will behave.

@JaundicedBaboon Will you yourself be betting in this market?

I was under the impression that having the creator bet in their own market was seen as untrustworthy, but if it wasn't I would bet no

What's your board representation or coordinate system, and is that also in the prompt?

I just say "top/middle/button row left/middle/right column". Though from my experience how you say it doesn't matter and the models can maintain the game state just fine

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Will GPT-5 be able to draw me in tic-tac-toe while playing as O at least 30% of the time?

Will Claude 3.5 Opus beat OpenAI's best released model on the arena.lmsys.org leaderboard?

Will chatgpt read this tic-tac-toe board correctly before 2025?

Does Claude 3.5 have control vector(s) to increase its capabilities?

Will Claude Opus be ranked in the top 20 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard two years from today (3/10/24)?

Will Claude 3.5 Opus have a higher Chat Arena Elo than GPT-5?

Will Claude 3.5 Opus be available via API by end of 2025?

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What will Claude 3.5 Opus's reported 0-shot performance on GPQA Diamond be upon release?

When will Claude 3.5 Opus be released?

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