January is Australians' favourite month to visit Japan, and one of America's least favourite month for travel. In most months Australian visitor numbers are 20-40% of US visits, but in January that spikes to 70-80%.
However a surging AUD and a falling JPY makes this most recent year potentially different. As does the political situation in America. Australians who might have holidayed in America are looking elsewhere.
This question will be resolved by looking at the official Japan-bound statistics, due out in mid-March (in a provisional format) and which will be available here:
https://www.tourism.jp/en/tourism-database/stats/inbound/
If the provisional Australian numbers are within 10% of the American numbers on either side, this resolves yes. Otherwise no.
e.g. if America sends 200,000 tourists and Australia send 181,000, the question resolves in the affirmative. if 200,000 Americans arrive and 221,000 Australians the answer will be no.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ35 | |
| 2 | Ṁ24 | |
| 3 | Ṁ16 | |
| 4 | Ṁ16 | |
| 5 | Ṁ6 |
Betting NO. JNTO published the January 2026 provisional data: USA sent 207,800 visitors vs Australia 167,000. That is a 24.4% gap — well outside the +/-10% threshold needed for YES resolution. The AUD strength and political dynamics narrowed the gap from the typical 20-40% range to ~24%, but not enough to hit parity.