Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?

Question

Resolves YES if the WHO declares a pandemic not related to Covid-19 on or by December 31, 2030. Resolves NO otherwise.

If the WHO declares a pandemic due to some variant of Covid-19, this will not count.

(Identical market to: source market)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 36% chance (0 traders, as of Aug 1, 2026).

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